- Intro- The antagonism b/w India - Pakistan, the two nuclear rivals remains one of the greatest tragedies of Asian politics. While India is contend with the status-quo by accepting Pakistan’s existence, Pakistan on the other hand, seeks to revise the status-quo as it sees India as an existential threat to its survival
- Trying to reconcile India and Pakistan is like trying to treat two patients whose only disease is an allergy to each other.-G Parthasarthy
- views of scholars:
Stephen P Cohen | ||
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- Issues:
- twin factors govern the politics of South Asia when it comes to India and Pakistan: nuclearisation of India and Pakistan and, the Islamic extremism in the progressively failing state of Pakistan
- India’s image of Pakistan mirrors the image Pakistan has of India. Both nurture ‘mutual blind spots’ that disallows questioning of respective narratives.
- both countries foreign policy is mutually exclusive and is seen as a zero sum game.
- Recently Pakistan granted provisional provincial status to Gilgit Baltistan
- Sumit Ganguly- conflict of identity between an Islamist Pakistan and “Secular” India
- "Ours is really not just a story of missed opportunities but also of deliberate obstacles. Terrorism is among them.
- Stability instability paradox
- Terrorism emanating from territories under Pakistan’s control remains a core concern in bilateral relations. India’s consistently stressed the need for Pakistan to take credible, irreversible and verifiable action to end cross-border terrorism against India
- Pakistan through the use of terrorism engages in low intensity war. It makes a case for itself in the world that if India responds heavily against such attack, then Pakistan would use its nuclear weapons (since it doesn’t has an NFU) and a nuclear war would ensue
- This theory has many takers in the world and hence after every attack India is under pressure to behave “responsibly.”
- But after the Balakot Air strikes against Pakistan in response to Pulwama, many scholars like Brahma Chellany have opined that Pakistan’s nuclear bluff has been called off by India
- India withdrew MFN status to Pak after Pulwama attack
- Issue of fishermen being captured from both sides during course of fishing.
- The current bilateral trade is $2.5B and the World Bank estimates the potential at $37B.
- Recently both countries have agreed to adhere to 2003 ceasefire by strictly observing truce along the LOC.
Way forward:
- Functionalism, sociological liberalism to be used in normalizing ties
- India has stakes in the success of “Bajwa doctrine” that calls for peace within Pakistan and outside and pursuing geo-economics rather than geopolitics.
- Conclusion: It is important to create an environment of trust and cooperation which is free of violence and terrorism for peace, progress and prosperity of the region.